Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 382.533038 434.333668 491.856167 560.696050 641.135124 732.507763 844.656572
2025-11-09 310.946963 380.296310 464.385054 574.802868 717.375858 897.178183 1144.147509
2025-11-16 265.498950 340.704812 437.295393 572.262329 758.888741 1012.212922 1389.716233
2025-11-23 232.005232 309.121200 412.758525 564.966375 787.522141 1108.659613 1621.543618
2025-11-30 209.694065 288.543594 398.742412 567.802625 827.581449 1223.716347 1898.078542
2025-12-07 188.190058 266.018781 378.430139 557.403318 844.433078 1303.774168 2131.436680
2025-12-14 172.147143 249.351587 364.256244 553.558482 869.496030 1398.674640 2405.576597
2025-12-21 154.365180 228.132329 340.679293 531.463964 860.760867 1434.192737 2578.042242
2025-12-28 147.883186 223.518885 342.178785 549.938484 922.605565 1601.472327 3032.933187
2026-01-04 142.840780 220.569523 345.811515 572.058889 993.433699 1796.004120 3585.395620
2026-01-11 134.742352 211.853107 338.938819 574.727300 1028.337123 1926.539077 4030.561033
2026-01-18 125.045029 199.629656 324.932591 562.780245 1033.317125 1997.107905 4355.387788
2026-01-25 116.526365 188.911999 312.901558 553.786748 1044.187782 2084.489108 4749.098722
2026-02-01 112.424662 185.492699 313.466099 568.854291 1106.439731 2294.883652 5509.914566
2026-02-08 106.201202 177.798321 305.540850 566.274995 1130.848465 2423.795499 6091.411288
2026-02-15 99.954832 169.568137 295.882601 559.072644 1144.015897 2528.361694 6634.911706
2026-02-22 95.537635 164.325762 291.364603 561.873905 1179.943638 2695.073072 7413.177310
2026-03-01 89.936094 156.474993 281.180920 551.601851 1184.070291 2781.685315 7969.567233
2026-03-08 85.538000 150.581464 274.340855 547.803952 1203.107482 2911.262133 8710.394739
2026-03-15 79.538275 141.238922 259.958109 525.978062 1175.127219 2907.798222 8992.963378
2026-03-22 78.155533 140.725004 263.298416 544.228095 1250.299834 3209.538688 10488.870533
2026-03-29 77.155198 140.876835 267.989425 566.077989 1338.255127 3568.764626 12361.368517
2026-04-05 74.397716 137.330817 264.664477 568.713644 1375.446937 3782.053040 13737.139803